Friday, January 21, 2011

Back Up to Test the Highs?

We are seeing some strength in European markets and futures are trading up this morning as the ES is testing minor resistance at 1283-1284. Once that gives way, it should set the stage for the climb back up to the 1290s.

I have a long bias today and will be looking to buy the dips. My strategy over the coming days is to anticipate range-based trading (1265-1295 ES) as a market top forms. I will short any new highs (i.e. 1300 ES) with confidence.

Levels to watch today (ES):
Resistance above at: 1283.50-1284, 1290-1291, 1295
Support below at: 1278-1279, 1273-1274, 1265-1268

Day Bias: Long

5 comments:

  1. Looking to get long ES at 1281 if we trade down there and find support...

    ReplyDelete
  2. We trade into gap window now on the ES (1276-1280.25). Looking for support. Looking for long entry in this range

    ReplyDelete
  3. The inability to bounce off the current lows with any continuation is beginning to be a concern. Day bias turning neutral until we can see some consistent buying. Looking like Gap wants to be filled today...

    ReplyDelete
  4. Good stuff. I agree that a market top may be forming, but that it also will most likely be a buying opportunity. Take a look at some of my analysis as to where we I think we are.

    http://tradingwithtechnicals.com/market-remains-vunerable

    Geared more towards the intermediate term trader, but is in line with you thesis.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Yes, short-term, continue to expect a move back to the highs, where I will be looking to get short. The swing long buying opportunity will be where the market finds support after the correction. I am a very confident buyer between 1216-1226 ES...

    ReplyDelete