Wednesday, March 2, 2011

Markets Weak, Oil Remains High

Yesterday's downward price action suggested that more weakness is in store for the US markets. The only technical sign needed to confirm the weakness is a lower low, a move that would need to see the ES trade below 1293.50.

Asian markets, NIKKEI, TOPIX and HANG SENG all down big on the heels of the sell-off yesterday in the US. European markets, FTSE, DAX and STOXX also currently trading lower.

I won't be surprised to see the market consolidate between 1296 and 1312 today. We may have to wait another day to see a follow-through to the downside. I like shorts off the 1310-1312 today and/or selling the up-ticks into resistance. I expect the ES to make its way down to 1277-1280 this week. That should be a short-term buying opportunity.

Levels to watch today on the ES:
Resistance Above at 1305-1306, 1310-1312, 1319-1320
Support Below at 1293-1295, 1289-1290, 1285-1286, 1277-1278