Thursday, November 12, 2009
What Today Means for Those of us Holding onto our Shorts
Yesterday you can see that we broke through Major Resistance at $110.34 on the SPY. However, the move was short lived as we stayed above that key resistance for less than 1 hour. That is not a sign of strength. Today we are looking at some key areas on the chart that should confirm direction one way or another. We are trading in a very important range between $110.34 and $109.59 (See Figure 1). We need to move below the bottom of this range today to support the Bears cause. If we close above the the $110.34 level, that would spell a lot of trouble for my short position as well as any bear mentality. I suppose it is appropriate that we are flirting with this key $110.34 level as I write this. I think we need to flirt and put a little fear into the minds of the bears... test their will and resolve before we can reward them for their savvy technical analysis and understanding of these markets.
Figure 1.
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A good sign: We have now spent more time below the lower part of the key range than we have above the upper part. Lets see if we can break past the descending orange trend line now. That will definitely give some temporary relief to the Bears.
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